Microsoft is doomed

Things aren’t looking too good for microsoft in the long term. They just reported their first quarterly loss ever. They were late to the internet game, the mp3 player game, the smart phone game, and now the tablet game. The only innovative thing they’ve done in years is the kinect.

On the desktop, they still dominate. I grabbed the data off of statcounter and here’s what it had to say:

That’s a lot of orange, but it’s trending downward. And this is just on the desktop, on mobile, we know microsoft doesn’t have much share. Statcounter doesn’t even list them. So let’s look at mobile vs desktop traffic:

Nothing will happen overnight of course, microsoft will still dominate the risk averse slow changing world of office worker software for at least a decade or two. But unless they change something drastic, it’s all downhill. Personally I don’t think the microsoft surface tablet or windows 8 will do anything to stem the tide.


6 thoughts on “Microsoft is doomed

  1. I think it may be a little much to jump straight to the “doomed” conclusion, especially before seeing how well Microsoft is able to unify their mobile and desktop platforms with Windows 8. Given that we’re talking about a timescale on the order of decades, it’s just too hard to tell what Microsoft will come up with in the future. There’s also no way of knowing whether or not Apple or Google will continue their success in the mobile space. Just a few years ago it looked like RIM was unstoppable there, and now they have struggling to remain a company.

  2. Yeah but saying”DOOMED” is fun. And their attempted unification of mobile and desktop is part of the reason why. They are different devices that require different interfaces. I think smooshing them together is a bad move (time will tell if I am right or not).

  3. … eventually. In like 15 years. I’d love to see this happen, but seriously it will not happen any time soon.

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